Sunday, October 20, 2024

Is Orange The New Green...Again?


EveryVote
CountsVille


There are now 93 provincial ridings in British Columbia.

Which means that you need 47 to form government.

As you can see from the screenshot, taken this morning from the Elections BC website, the Dippers and the Cons both fall just short.

Which, of course, means that, if things stay the same, it will be the Greens that hold the balance of power.

Of course, that was also the case in 2017 when John Horgan and Andrew Weaver made their deal that, in my opinion at least, gave us a pretty good government as a result.

Could the same thing happen again?

Well, luckily, given his recent comments in support of the climate change denier Mr. Rustad and his merry band of Whackaloons, Mr. Weaver no longer leads the provincial Greens.

But the big question is - who will actually lead the Greeniacs going forward?

Will it be Sonia Furstenau, who lost her race, not in Cowichan, but instead in Beacon Hill?

It's going to be interesting to see what happens there, given the potential for both the power and the glory, not to mention good policy, down the road.

And it looks like the Greens and Mr. Eby might have a little time to sort things out because, as you can see from the image above there are still 0.23% of the votes to count. This small sliver represents out of district votes and mail-in ballots which, apparently, will take about a week to collect, collate and count.

Do those votes matter?

Potentially, yes, but it is unlikely.

By my reading the two ridings that could flip are Surrey-Guilford, where the Con is currently up by 102, and Juan de Luca, where the Dipper is up by just 23.

So.

Let's say, worse case scenario, the Cons hold Surrey-G and the Dippers lose JDF...That would make it 46 Cons (not enough to win) vs. the Dippers 45 (enough to hold on if they make a deal with Greens to go to 47).

Thus, I for one am now able to exhale and almost relax while we wait for the final numbers to be posted by Elections BC next Saturday.

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One of the big surprises
was the Greens winning handily in the fully vote split riding of West Van Sea-to-Sky...That, I think, is ironic given how the riding that GordCo's development bund built, may very well have saved us...Somewhere, I'm pretty sure the ghost of Rafe Mair has a little smile on his face this morning.


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8 comments:

GarFish said...

Supply and Service Agreement 2.0

RossK said...

GarFish--

Here's hoping.

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Trailblazer said...

Lets hope Valeriote and Bottrell have more political savvy than Furstenau.
She could have found better, easier, ridings to run in than Beacon Hill.
With Rustad vowing to force an election re run before the final results are in is disturbing.
TB

RossK said...

TB--

Good point about the Greens. I hope that Adam Olsen is involved. If that happens, part of the deal, I suspect, would be to bring the Land Act reforms back to the table that Con/Soccer Party duopoly worked so hard to de-rail.

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Chuckstraight said...

Time for an actual coalition?

RossK said...

Chuck--

Yes.

But, to be fair, wouldn't that actually be a 'back to the future' (i.e. 2017-20) kind of thing?

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Chuckstraight said...

Agree, but if it was an actual coalition with the Greens it would make the Cons crazy?

Trailblazer said...

I prefer the ,at least, three party system.
We are , hopefully, too diverse to suffer the constraints of a two party state with it's ; your with us or against us!
Just look south of the 49th and shudder at the thought?
TB