Tuesday, May 23, 2017

One....Errrr....No More Day(s)...

AllTheirStrategicVoteGetteries
'RUsVille

_____

Final Update: 5:20pm Wednesday.... Dippers win going away by 189...Throne speech throwdown here we go!

Update: 5:30pm Tuesday....Elections BC has revised its numbers....Dippers now up by ROCK-101 in CoCo!...Hard rock data miner guy Chad Skelton figures that 56% of the absentee ballots have been counted with 911 to go 
______


From the (pretty much) always reliable Shane Woodford at 4:25 pm Tuesday:



Gosh.

With the Clarkdashians currently up by 0.01% (aka 3 votes) is now a good time to remind everyone that the Green Party candidate took 18% (aka 4,939 votes) in that riding?



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Sunday Setlist...Melancholia, Or Something Like It.

NamingAllThese
TunesVille


It's that road thing, I think, that causes this weird melancholia that got hold of me this weekend.

That fronts a back-to-front reverse romance trilogy I've had stuck in my head for awhile now.

The full setlist this time 'round is...

Sunday Morning Coming Down - K. Kristofferson
Alabama Pines - J. Isbell
Pine For The Cedars - D. Mangan
Sell The House - I. Felice
I'm On Fire -  B. Springsteen
New York City Serenade - B. Springsteen 


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These Days In Clarkland...Always Be Closing.

TheBestThingsInLife
Aren'tFreeVille


Sure there's a vote count going down.

But, in the meantime, the folks manning the lifeboats in the good ship Clarklandia are also raking in big bundles of money hand over fist.

Bob Mackin has been been keeping track. Here's just one $100,000 bundle (note the date of of the donations):



Gosh.

It's almost as if Mitch and Murray errrrr...the Wizardry sent in a young Alec Baldwin to crack some donor heads.

Which shouldn't be too surprising, I suppose, when you realize that, since May 9th,  they've been able to scare the crap out of their marks by warning them that this may be their last chance to get in on that democracy killing slushpile of bought influence for, like, maybe...

Ever.

(or at least until that Courtenay-Comox count is done)


_________
Subheader got your earworm rising?....This! 
Update: Bob Mackin has now dug all the new, post-election numbers out of the Clarkdashian's pdf file...The new total is almost a million, the great majority of it coming from the usual suspects. 


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Sunday, May 21, 2017

This Post-Election Lull In Clarkland....The Former Star Candidate Speaks.

OnceATeleprompterPurveyor
AlwaysATeleprompterPurveyorVille


Scott Brown of Postmedia brings you the wise-acred words of one Mr. Steve Darling, straight-up, steno-style:

"...We knew from the very beginning that we were going into a very tough market but as I said right from the beginning, I felt very connected to that market because I’ve worked there for so long in Burnaby-Lougheed..."


Gosh.

A 'market'...

That's a really neat-o way to think of your constituents and all that Steve-O.

Sheesh.



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The Cronification Of Absolutely Everything...BC Hydro Division.

LobbyYouAndLobbyMe
AhaaaVille


And here I thought that, after sixteen years, we had seen it all...



Because, you know, this...



Sheesh.

No...

Double-secret, non-probational sheesh.

OK?


_______
Of course, the intern who is running the Hydro twittmachine feed this weekend was quick to note that the rebate program extends to all kinds of brands...But....Samsung was the only 'winner' they chose to Tweet about...Surprise! 
Tip O' The Toque to 'casualcactii' for getting the ball rolling on this one.



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Saturday, May 20, 2017

It's A Crony Party Party! (At The Vancouver Police Board)

TheRot
RunsDeepVille


The Vancouver Police Board has nine members.

One member is elected by city council and one is the mayor.

The other seven members are appointed by the provincial government.

Guess how many are connected to the Crony Party by money...



No matter how things turn out with next week's count-off, this must end.



______
And what is really, really troublesome here is the 'expertise' (or total lack thereof) of those fine Crony Party appointees.


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Friday, May 19, 2017

The Thing I Get...



...Is This.





________
There is sure to be all sorts of stuff to follow the sad passing of Mr. Cornell. Stuff like this is what I will choose to remember.

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Wednesday, May 17, 2017

The Keef Report....The New Shrewd.

NevermindTheBase
He'sGotAReallyBigPlayToGameVille


As you might expect, it is the Keef that shows how the game is played:




Hmmmmm...

I guess bringing in an an old SoCredCon as his offensive coordinator is an indicator of how the good Mr. Weaver will play his 'New Way of Doing Politics' game.

And to hell with the voter base and all that.

Gosh.

Can an even newer Progressive Democratic Alliance Unity Party Party be far behind?



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Monday, May 15, 2017

Courtenay-Comox Revisited....The Dumber They Come.

ProPunditryJustAin'tWhatIt
UsedToBeVille


The latest from Mikey Mike in the Province:

A lot of B.C. Liberals are furious at Leah McCulloch these days because she ran in last week’s provincial election as a member of the B.C. Conservative party.

The Conservatives are a broke, leaderless, barely organized outfit scuttling around the fringes of the B.C. political scene. They ran just 10 candidates provincewide.

But McCulloch still managed to get 2,061 votes in Courtenay-Comox, the crucial riding where the NDP beat the governing Liberals by just nine votes in the preliminary results.

The Liberals ended up with 43 seats on election night — one short of a majority in the 87-seat legislature — and now some Liberals see McCulloch as the vote-splitting spoiler who denied majority power to Christy Clark.

“There’s a lot of hate coming my way,” said McCulloch, a 53-year-old dietitian who ran for political office for the first time.

“They think the Liberals would have won the riding if there hadn’t been a Conservative candidate on the ballot. They’re probably right, but they have only themselves to blame, not me.”...



All very interesting in a superficial*, as far as it goes, kind of way.

Except for, well, you know....

This:




Now.

Normally, I would not be quite so harsh in my commentary on the work of the good Mr. Smyth given how hard it is for a columnist to phone it in during a lull like the one we are in at the moment.

Except that in his column he does not once....

And I mean not once....

Even bother to mention the number of votes garnered by Green candidate in Courtenay-Comox and how many votes the Greens therefore took from the NDP candidate based on the accepted 67/33% Dipper/Lib split.

Again.

Not once.


______
*As for the superficial (in addition to the downright negligent) aspect of Mr. Smyth's analysis?....The real story as to why there was no last minute surge, overall, for Ms. Clark and the Crony Party Party in 2017 is nowhere to be found, specifically with respect to the fact that they had so destroyed the rump roast of the Con Party in advance this time around that there was no final collapse of a bloated Carcass of the Cummins like the one that led to a soft true blue bleed to the C.P.P. the last week before the election back in 2013...


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Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Requiem For An Electorate...Explaining To Mr. Mason Why So Many Voters Just Don't Get It.

ConsensusIsOnlyBuiltByReal
FollowUpVille


Maybe, just maybe, there will be a coalition that matters (for both the people and the environment) around here.

But, even if Courtenay-Comox does NOT flip on the absentee ballots and turn Mr. Weaver et al's gift of 16 seats to the BCL into our collective four year (and likely much, much longer from a systemic debt and treasure give away point of view) nightmare, no one can dispute the fact that, despite all the corruption, malfeasance and outright, bald-faced lying, Ms. Clark and her Crony Party Party (i.e. the C.P.P.) still won 41% of the popular vote last night.

****

Now.

Those of you all that have been hanging around here for awhile know that I have derided Mr. Mason, he of both Chichester Cathedral and the Globe and (No Longer Empire) Mail, for his laments that go something like this:


Well....

In a nutshell, this is why:



OK?


______
Having said all that, if things hold I, for one, am thinking that Ms. Furstaneau is the type of principled person who will do her darndest to make sure her party's leader does the right thing by the folks that voted for her.


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Tuesday, May 09, 2017

Election Returns Open Thread...



Feel free to vent.

I'm off until about 9:45pm getting littler e. from a tap dance thingy.

Don't wreck the place while I'm away...



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Come On Over, There's A Whole Lotta Voting Going On.

VoteBaby
VoteVille


While it's old hat now for Bigger E., today littler e. is voting for the very first time.

Interestingly, it appears that they both figured out what vote splitting is without any help from me.

These days it's pretty much the same thing with their song and dance acts also.

Which is exactly as it should be.

As for the old days, well....





Have fun kibbitzing with your friends, neighbours and fellow citizens as you head from the sunlight into the voting booth everybody!


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Monday, May 08, 2017

Where The New Support For The BC Liberals Is NOT Coming From.

SomeInconvenientTruths
AreGreenerThanOthersVille


From that latest, much discussed (and disputed), Mainstreet/Postmedia poll:




Note which line has not going down as the BC Liberal line has drifted upward the last couple of weeks?

Now note which line has actually been going down during that same period.

Point is, push-assisted or not, any increase in support for the Cronification of Everything party has very likely come from a drop in undecideds rather from Greens.

All the more reason why I stand behind my hypothesis from yesterday that all that soft progressive support leaning Green could, if it swings back to its senses, win it for the Dippers

OK?


______
And why would low info undecideds swing BCL in the final days?....Short and long of it?...Institutional endorsements I reckon.


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Sunday, May 07, 2017

#BCElxn17....These Numbers Don't Lie.

ASplitThatCouldDriveEvenTheMostProgressiveGreen
BananasVille


Look.

I know that many, if not most, BC Green Party candidates are very well intentioned.

Heckfire, some of them, like Shawnigan Lake's Sonia Fursteneau and that old punk rock war horse from Burnaby named Joe, would likely make great MLA's.

And I can see how Mr. Weaver's (mostly) socially democratic platform sits well with a whole lot of progressive voters who are, at least right now, saying they will vote Green.

But here's the thing....

Every seat taken from the Dippers on the Island moves the BC Liberal Party one seat closer to victory.

And even just one or two Green splits up the middle on the Lower Mainland ensure that there will be no voter and/or pay-to-play reform before the next election in 2021.

Why do say this?

Because it cannot be denied that, despite all the post-event backtracking, that Mr. Weaver himself made it very clear in his interview with Keith Baldrey last week that he will not work with Mr. Horgan if no one wins a majority. Furthermore, Mr. Weaver also made it clear (and has a past track record of support of the BC Liberals) that he gets along with, and can talk to, the "Iron Cronebird", Ms. Clark, particularly when it comes to the 'economy'.

So....

The time has come is time to look hard at the data and pull out the numbers that actually matter.

Which are the second party preference numbers of decided voters...

I'm going to refer to the most recent Mainstreet poll here, but you can look at a whole bunch of polls from all the companies over the last few weeks (they are listed, by date and company, by Eric Grenier, here) and you will see that the following summary is not a flash in the pan.

First: Of those currently saying they will vote BC Liberal, less than a quarter of them say that their second choice is either NDP or Green. The remainder, more than half, say they are undecided on a second choice.

Second: And this is something that has NOT been discussed seriously by the landed Lotuslandian proMedia pundit gentry this election cycle, fully half of those who say the are voting NDP also say that the Greens are their second choice.

Third: And this is the big one that cannot be denied by anyone, Mr. Weaver included, two thirds of those saying they will vote Green say that the Dippers are their second choice (see Mainstreet graphic, above). What's more, only 21% of Green voters indicate that the Cronification of Everything party is their second choice.


What does this all mean Alfie?

Well, here is my analysis....

A small point that matters: Unlike 2013, at this late date there is no way for BC Liberal vote to grow significantly given the complete of a Cummingsified Con presence to pull from this time around. This was illustrated by last week's Forum poll that shaved a significant percentage off the Liberal vote when it included 'Conservative' as a choice (see bottom of post, here).

A bigger, more important point: It would be a disaster if even a small portion of the soft Dipper vote were to go Green.

The really, really big/most important point: A massive chunk of the Green vote is a progressive one that would never seriously consider voting BC Liberal but could go NDP (and probably came from the Dipper camp in the first place, particularly the part that is not millennial-driven).


Upshot?

I would posit that the last 36 hours would be best spent if Mr. Horgan et al. were to make it (even more) abundantly clear to progressive folks leaning Green everywhere what will happen if they stay that way.

Because that vote, particularly the aspect of it that hates the cronies and all that they are doing to our province and those British Columbians that need our help most, is the one they have to get back to win.

OK?


________
And, given how important the numbers above are,  I for one, do not understand why every single reporter covering Mr. Weaver is not asking him what, specifically, he will do if his party gains the balance of power in a minority government on Tuesday.
Iron Cronebird?....Blame Preston Manning backed with a dash of Murray Edwards. 
Update: It goes without saying that, respectfully, I do not agree with David Beers' take on why Mr. Weaver is willing to sidle up to Ms. Clark...Why?...Because, again, the data say there is little to be gained from attempting 'woo' soft BC Liberal voters and, conversely everything for Mr. Weaver to lose by pissing off progressives who are leaning towards him...The latter, in my opinion, is Mr. Weaver's (potential) achilles heel. 
Update II (Monday lunchtime): New polls out today make it abundantly clear why soft Green leaners with a progressive streak must vote NDP if they want to prevent a Liberal majority with any certainty whatsoever.


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Friday, May 05, 2017

BC Election Going Down....Your Best Friday Night Read.

SomePunditsHave(ALot)MoreToSay
ThanOthersVille


Rather than bothering to read the Dean argue with himself, sans actual data, as he heads to the horse race betting window to buy a cheap quinella ticket fronted by a reduced Clarklandian majority, I suggest you instead go and read a pundit who actually has something to say about something that actually matters.

That would be Merv Adey:

...An ABC (Anybody But Clark) vote is not worth the cogitation required because this election is down to the energy of volunteers now and the “Get Out the Vote” machinery…. To my mind, the workers for all three campaign are sufficiently energized to put out their best effort.

So I’m asking the undecided to think about it… When it comes to the ethical and legal failures I’ve spent the last two years blogging about, no informed voter can possibly accept the BCLiberal record. But the time for me to recount it all and complain of mainstream media laziness in some quarters (not all) ?? That’s over.

The fact the BCLiberals are close to being returned is evidence of a real right-wing and centre right natural leaning of the province.

But consider the NDP…On day one of a Horgan mandate, you get the end of donor dollars unduly influencing government policy to the detriment of 98% of us… You get the end of the Wild West not only of political donations, but also defunding of public education and the Wild West of environmental pillage with shockingly reduced returns to the public treasury..

As soon as big money, corporate AND union donation end, we get a start to a government in which need, and the greatest benefit to the public as a whole dictates public decision making. We get a start to having wide concerns about public accountability listened to and not dismissed.

There… that’s done. I’m not done. Whatever the result next week, I will blog as needed when something I feel is wrong with government. I will agree on policy more often if Horgan wins, so I may get a bit quiet in such as case… But I promise integrity and accountability will remain my top concerns….

Think. Vote. Get others to the polls if you can.



If this election campaign has shown us one thing it is that the words of principled amateur pundits are worth a gazillion times those of the local pros.

Go figure.


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And then, of course, there is Ron Obvious (who clearly did not receive an interview from Patrick Kinsella and Mark Jiles' number one horse) taking a huge bit out of Chichester Cathedral...In Kamloops!...Sheesh.

Please note: I am not talking about the non-stenographic local proMedia reporters here....Those folks have the most worth of all, particularly when they are unleashed by editors who have been shamed into doing so when outsiders (i.e. a guy named Levin) get the ball rolling...OK?


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Wednesday, May 03, 2017

Weaver Kinda/Sorta/Maybe/Doesn't Really But Just Might Back Clarklandia...Can The BC Liberal-Financed Ads Supporting Him Be Far Behind?

It'sLike2009And2013AllOver
AgainVille


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Update, 9:00pm Wed May3rd....Global now retracts its original lede...But as 'Sub Boreal' notes in the comment thread the interview itself is still filled with comments from Mr. Weaver that he can't work with Mr. Horgan..Thus, post-header has been revised into 'equivocal' form...Ha!
_____


From the (original) lede of a Global TeeVee summary of the good Mr. Weaver's interview with the Keef:

If push comes to shove and BC Green Party leader Andrew Weaver had to strike a deal with another party to form a minority government, the former climate scientist said he would choose the Liberals...


So...

No progressive can now pretend that a vote for one of Mr. Weaver's parachute candidates is NOT a vote for a continuation of the total triumph of the corporate cronies.

OK?


______
As for that ad thing mentioned in the header to the post?....Well, you know....Sterk!
Re: The Update...Gosh....How could the Keef possibly let all this inaccuracy happen?...I mean, it's almost as if he and his went out and hired a bunch of idiot bloggers to write copy based on his interviews, or some such thing.


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This Desperate Day In Clarkland...The Low Information Candidate.

WhatMe
WorryVille


From Marcella Bernardo, now workin' it hard (and very well) for CKWX:

While campaigning in Kelowna, she (Christy Clark) was asked about an investigation which revealed more than $140-million worth of (provincial) tax dollars have been spent giving tax breaks to more than 80 foreign companies.

Here’s how Clark responded to the claim only 300 jobs have been created by Advantage BC.

“I am really impressed that you made it all the way through that article and were able to figure out what the guy was trying to say.”...


Gosh.

Is it possible that Ms. Clark, she a  former member of the local ProMedia, thinks that the inverted pyramid lede should lead every story that is critical of her government's policies straight into the deepest, darkest corner of King Tut's tomb?

In the particular case of the New York Times story under consideration by Dan Levin, I reckon the lede actually leads to this million watt candlepower blowtorch:

...Participating companies have created few jobs, according to government figures, while more than 140 million Canadian dollars ($106 million) have been doled out in (BC provincial) tax refunds since 2008, when the initiative was expanded...

The incentives operate under a cloak of secrecy that is unusual for similar efforts in Canada and the United States, critics say. The province (of BC) will not name the companies that get the breaks. The only information available about them is on the website of a nonprofit that promotes the program.

“This is essentially a temporary foreign-worker program for the rich, with secret government subsidies for multinational corporations,” said Dermod Travis, the executive director of IntegrityBC, a nonpartisan political watchdog group based in Victoria, the provincial capital. “The government is selling B.C. as a tax haven for the global elite to park investment here, but not have to contribute.”...



What's for our fine Premier not to understand?

Except, of course, that long division would tell her that $140 million could fund 2.7 million bus passes for the disabled.

Yes.

You read that number right.

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Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Globe Editorial Misses Boat Entirely On Outrage That Led To Online Success Of #IAmLinda.

SomeThingsAreMuchMoreObvious
ThanOthersVille


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Update, 8:00pm Tuesday May 2nd....We're very glad to see that, on this one at least, Mr. Mason of the Globe is suddenly making an effort to...keep up.
______

Well, well, well...

Turns out the Globe and (NoLongerEmpire) Mail's editorialists are just as adept, if not more so, at missing the obvious as is a certain well known west coast-based columnist in their employ.

In this particular case they have concluded that the #IAmLinda outrage is nothing more than a case of nameless and faceless misplaced manufacturement:

Or some such thing:

Of all the interactions ever to occur between a voter and a campaigning politician, the one last week between BC Liberal Party Leader Christy Clark and a woman in a North Vancouver market has got to be among the most anodyne.

Except, of course, that this one was caught on camera and went viral on Twitter, where it is being used against Ms. Clark.

We’re not buying it. Anyone who wants to can see the incident online and judge for themselves...


{snippety doo-dah}

...The voter in question, Linda Higgins, is an innocent party in all of this. There’s no evidence she was looking to make news, or that she was an NDP plant. She deserves no condemnation.

But neither did Ms. Clark do anything wrong. In fact, in the hurly-burly of a closely fought election campaign, she handled it well...


{snippety doodle-dandy}

...If there is a larger sense among some B.C. voters that the Liberal Party has grown arrogant after so many years in power, that’s fair. But the fact that a garden-variety exchange between a voter and a politician has become a distracting political incident on Twitter speaks more about a social medium that feeds on easy outrage than it does about the real issues in this election.




But here's the thing the fine folks at the Globe missed...

The real outrage about all of this started when, in a desperate attempt at deflector spike spin, Clarklandian campaign wizards claimed, all evidence to the contrary, that the citizen in question was an NDP plant.

And that is the real story - the fact that people like Mark Marissen and Laura Miller will say anything about anybody when they decide that the channel must be changed to take the heat off of their horse in the race.

Or, put another way...

Twitter the platform doesn't knowingly make stuff up about people to smear them.

Instead, people who use Twitter do.

People like the two BC Liberal party operatives named above.

OK?


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Some Hard Truths And A Little Hope In Yesterday's Ipsos Numbers.

TeaLeaves
GoingDownVille

______

See update at bottom of post for a comment on today's brand spanking new Forum numbers...Upshot: The whiplash from the daily poll changes may be a phantom one
______


At this point in an election trends matter and the numbers from yesterday's Ipsos poll have things going the wrong way, with the BCL up a few and the Dippers down a few. That puts the general, both for Ipsos and Justason, in a statistical tie.

The Clarklandians' greatest strength, apparently, is still the 'Economy' which means that the stenography on the part of the local proMedia (stenography like this from Mr. Bailey of the Globe) is working and the real truth is not getting out.

So.

What does it all mean?

Well, as you might expect, it means that Mr. Horgan et al. need every single seat if they are going to have a chance.

Especially in ridings where things are historically close and, regionally, on the island (which is absolutely required given the fact that, apparently, the hurtland still wants to vote against its own best interests).

Which further means that if everything goes right for the NDP and they get their Mr. Beer 'N Hockey-assisted ground game running at peak efficiency the Greens can still lose it for them.

And don't give me that 'folks who vote Green also vote Liberal' codswallop'?

Why?

Because it's all there, writ large, in Ipsos' drill down numbers:

-Among BC Liberals voters, their second choice remains equally between the NDP (28%) and Greens (26%).


-Among NDP voters, their second choice still strongly favours the Greens (53%) over the BC Liberals (15%).


-Among Green voters, the NDP (45%) remains much more likely than BC Liberals (14%) to be their second choice.



Not to put too fine a point on it, but, the real message of the last week has to be 'Progressives don't let their friends vote Green' unless, of course, they secretly want the cronification of everything to continue until, finally, there is nothing left of our fair province.


_____
Where's the hope?....Well, Horgan is winning on overall positives straight-up vs. Clark...The Dipper age demos are solid in the middle and they do not have to rely on a big youth vote to win...Finally, unlike last time out, there is nowhere, really, for the Clarklandians to grow given that there is no blueCon rump lingering like there was last time courtesy the destruction of the good Mr. Cummings...
Of course, all of the above could be pure bull hockey because we, the public, are not getting any riding-specific numbers whatsoever.
Update: Today's Forum poll has the Dippers up by eight over the Clarklandians...But, before you get too excited please realize that Forum has a 'Conservative' column that is getting 7% which is codswallop given that there only 10 Cons running...Thus when low info folks of that ilk get in the booth and can find no Con who do you think they will choose?....Thus, taking that 7% and giving it to the BCL brings things pretty much right to where Ipsos has them.


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Saturday, April 29, 2017

This Weekend In Clarkland....Discredit Everyone.

KloutKlub
GoneWildVille


First, from the corner marked 'integrity' in the Wizards' war room...




Next, Marky Mark lights his pants on fire...





Fine bunch of folks I reckon.



________
A little birdy tells me that the Keef may have been the friendified cut-out on this 'story'...Does anyone have a link?


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Wednesday, April 26, 2017

This Day In Scared Crapless Clarklandia...The Back End Of The Push.

AllTheirPolls
'RThemVille


Yesterday, we noted how Ron Obvious, he of the Globe And No Longer Empire Mail, got pushed by Socred/BCLiberal operative Greg Lyle to lower public expectations on polls to come showing the Dippers surging in the wake of the first leaders' debate last week.

We also noted Mr. Lyle's previous tag team efforts with Clarklandian wizard Mike McDonald.

And then, once those Dippers surging polls came out we got the back end from the good Mr. McDonald courtesy Mikey Mike in the Province:

Christy Clark’s campaign war room has issued an urgent warning to her Liberal party troops on the ground:

New polls showing the NDP with a big lead are to be taken seriously. Don’t count on the pollsters to be wrong again. You’re going to have to work for every vote to win.

“This campaign is a dogfight,” senior Liberal strategist Mike McDonald wrote on his daily campaign blog Tuesday.

“I do not discount the potential of an NDP victory. They are tough adversaries.”

The warning from the party brass comes after a Mainstreet Research poll put John Horgan’s NDP on top with 44 per cent of decided votes, a full 10 points ahead of the Liberals at 34 per cent...



So.

Given all this, will the Clarklandians double down and continue to smear Horgan for actually fighting, for real.

Or.

Will they throw caution to the windscreen and start blaming Dave Barrett for creating ICBC?

I reckon we'll have the answer about halfway through tonight's debate when the digital warriors of the Klout Klub start bleating.

If you get my drift.


______
Don't know about you but I sure do enjoy watching the local puffed-up punditry hoist themselves up onto their own evils of insider access petard.


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Tuesday, April 25, 2017

This Day In Clarkland...Did Ron Obvious Count His Poll Numbers Before They Hatched?

DeflectorSpikeSpinHasAlwaysBeenTheir
RealGameVille


Last weekend Mr. Mason, he of the Globe (AndNoLongerEmpire) Mail, published a piece in which he implied that, even if their (then) slightly favourable poll numbers were to hold, the Dippers probably won't win:

Elections in British Columbia are always an uphill battle for the New Democratic Party and, despite polls putting it ahead, this one is no different.

As the electoral history of this province has demonstrated, a lot has to go right for the NDP to win a general vote. More often than not, triumph is the result of some breakdown in the centre-right coalition that has ruled British Columbia, under a couple of different political institutions, for all but 13 of the past 65 years. The conditions for that type of wholesale collapse are not evident this time around...



Interestingly, Mr. Mason relied on a pollster by the name of Greg Lyle for a big thwack of faux sage-brushed wisdom in his piece:

...While British Columbians are undoubtedly dissatisfied with the Liberal government on many counts, Mr. Lyle does not believe that enmity is deeply entrenched. In his (own) March poll, he asked those surveyed to respond to the assessment: “I am so angry at the BC Liberal party I will never vote for them again.” Just 34 per cent of respondents agreed.

“That is a pretty low number,” Mr. Lyle said in an interview. “People might be upset at the government, but how motivated are they to do something about it? That is the key question. And our poll indicated that the anger level is not very deep, so the Liberals would have to be encouraged by that.”...

{snip}

...While Mr. Lyle holds the view the NDP is in tough given the significant seat advantage the Liberals hold, he is someone who knows first-hand anything can happen. He was campaign director for the Liberals in 1996, the year Gordon Campbell led them into battle and lost, even though the party received more of the popular vote.

Could that happen again? Mr. Lyle thinks so, but this time it could be the NDP at the bitter losing end of that equation.

“The more likely scenario this time would be NDP wins more votes, but Liberals win more seats because of the distribution of votes among seats,” he said. “What has changed since ‘96 is the Libs have strengthened their hold on rural seats and the NDP have done better in urban seats. So that means, bottom line, the NDP could be a bit ahead in the polls and still lose the election.”...




Now.

Why would an old Socred/BC Liberal hand like Mr. Lyle, a most fine fellow who in the past has worked on joint projects with Mr. Mike MacDonald, the Clarklandian insider who also just happens to be the spouse of the current CEO of BC Hydro, have been throwing NDP expectations lowering advice Mr. Mason's way, based on an old poll, at that specific moment in time (i.e. late last week)?

I mean, it's almost as if Mr. Lyle was staring into the heart of some very dark internal numbers last Thursday/Friday that were telling him that the wizards of Clarklandia were in big, big trouble in the wake of the first radio debate.

And then, today, courtesy of Simon Little at CKNW we get....

This:

We’re getting a look at the first set of numbers to come out since last week’s radio leaders debate, and they suggest the NDP has the advantage.

The Main Street/Postmedia poll, conducted April 20-22, suggests despite what some had characterized as an over aggressive debate performance the NDP has built a ten per cent lead provincewide among decided and leaning voters.

The survey pegs the NDP at 44 per cent (+5), the BC Liberals at 34 (-3), and the BC Greens at 22 per cent (+1)...



I, for one, await Rob Obvious' mea culpa with barely bated breath.


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Monday, April 24, 2017

Big Money Liberal Donor Successfully Petitions US Government To Destroy BC Jobs.

SomeDollarsAreDarkerThan
OthersVille


Weyerhaeuser is an American forest products company.

In the last 11 plus years Weyerhaeuser proper has donated more than $230,000 dollars to the BC Liberal Party:



Last fall Weyerhaeuser petitioned the US government to kill forest company jobs in British Columbia (see pg 10 of pdf):




And, today, Weyerhaeuser's wishes came true.

Allegedly:

U.S. President Donald Trump said Monday he would impose a 20 percent tariff on Canadian softwood lumber, according to a White House official and two people present when he made the comment at a reception for conservative journalists...


Now.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but....

I'm pretty sure the Steelworkers have never done such a thing.



_______
For the record, Weyerhaeuser has given less than 10% of the BCL amount to the provincial Dippers over the same period.
Tip O' The Toque to Dipper Oppo guy Tim Howlett for the heads-up on the Twittmachine.



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Last Sunday In Clarkland...The Photo-Op Finisher.

CanYouGetADegreeFromTheSorbonne
IfYouJustShowUpForGraduationVille


From Hana Mae Nassar's breathless coverage of a recent double photo-op by our fine Premier posted to the CKWX website:

...(Christy) Clark joined tens of thousands of people taking part in today’s yesterday's Vancouver Sun Run. While she didn’t run the full race, Christy Clark says events such as the Sun Run are a good way to build community....


Gosh.

It is my understanding that Ms. Clark was there at the start and the finish for pictures galore.

As for all that hard work required to actually get through the middle bits?

Not so much

Of course, grandstanding without actually running, means Ms. Clark had plenty of time to spout messages about her 'message' to the attending stenographers without actually having to submit said 'message' to any real scrutiny whatsoever:

...Joined by fellow Liberal candidates, she (Ms. Clark) is nothing but confident when asked how her campaign is going so far.

“I’ve been feeling really good about it, I mean I’m always an optimist. And my job is just to make sure people know what we stand for, what I want to do if I get a second term as Premier and I feel like we’re working hard to get that message out.”...


Hmmmmmm....

If that is really the case one can only wonder why the good Ms. Clark was not on McComb's little morning radio show this morning as was the case with the other two party leaders?



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Saturday, April 22, 2017

Where Have All The Stealth LibCons Gone?



Gone to scaredy-cat hidey-holes everywhere.

Meanwhile....

In Prince George:

AiMHi is presenting yet another chance for residents to hear from candidates running for office in this year’s provincial election.

Spokesperson Fred McLeod says an all-candidates forum will take place next Thursday, April 27, from 7:00 p.m. to 9:30 p.m. in the AiMHi gymnasium at 950 Kerry Street.

He says candidates from the Prince George-Valemount and Prince George-Mackenzie ridings have been invited to attend...

{snip}


...He says the Liberals were provided with four possible dates in mid-March but were told by the Liberal campaign this week neither will be attending.

McLeod says he’s disappointed. “Absolutely, but we will continue without them. The challenges that people are facing are huge and they need to have an opportunity for those challenges to be brought to the fore in an election period and if government candidates choose not to be there I think it sends a statement.”

He says one of the biggest challenges facing the disadvantaged in all B.C. communities is the monthly payment of $1,033 persons with disabilities receive each month. That sum was bumped up $50 a month April 1, 2017....



Ahhhhh...

Now I get it.

They're too scared to face the disabled folks they've been screwing over for 16 years.

There is a name for that I believe.


_______
 Kind of makes one wonder what would happen if kids in care, or seniors that need care, or homeless folks organized an all candidates meeting...Heads would likely explode in BCL war rooms everywhere.

And, just in case you've forgotten, the BC Liberal Party candidate in PG-Valemont is none other than RailGate origin story participant Ms. Bond....Shirley Bond.


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Friday, April 21, 2017

First Debate Post-Game Wrap-Up....Where's Weaver Now?

WhereTheWarRoomGoes
MostOfTheHerdWillFollow


It looks like the Wizards of Clarklandia really have gone full metal Lib-Con with their war room.

Heckfire.

Even the good Mr. Kinsella, Warren not Patrick, got in on the act when it came time to let fly with the codswallop in the immediate wake of yesterday's usery mouthpiece-moderated debate.

Codswallop that most of the local proMedia herd dutifully rolled around in before they got up and filed their copy.

Interestingly, Nancy Macdonald of Macleans managed to stay out of stinkiest of the crap on the ground and actually came up with something interesting to say after she first described John Horgan's combative nature:

...Yet Horgan’s weakness may also be his strength. Where some see anger, others see passion. Voters rarely see a full debate. They watch it in clips on their Facebook feeds and the nightly news. The point of it all is to make yourself look strong and nimble.

And there were times Clark’s attacks fell flat. In her defence, the party has given her little to work with. The stale and hackneyed Liberal platform, an exhaustive celebration of the government record, contains almost no new promises; this has forced her to try to fight back using the tired, Liberal strategy of drumming up fear over the NDP’s mid-‘90’s record. “It’s April, 2017,” Horgan said at one point, shutting down the attack. “What are you going to do for people today?”...



It will be interesting to see if regular folks do come to see the passion positively as voting day approaches.

Personally, I think they just might especially if Mr. Horgan continues to define himself rather than allowing the LibCons do it for him as happened to Mr. Dix last time around.

Meanwhile...

Is anyone talking about Mr. Weaver today?




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Wednesday, April 19, 2017

BC Election Campaign Roundup...Week 2 So Far.

ResearchThis
CampaignAllYouWantVille


Nevermind all this talk about minor league credit ratings (which Laila Yuile deals with very effectively, here).

Instead, take note of the fact that the fine folks that the BC Liberal wizards have hired to run the war room appear to have research in hand that has resulted in their recommending an 'All Christy All The Time' (ACATT) strate(r)gy.

Which means that the campaign is shaping up to be a 'Beyond The Valley Of The Stealth Cons' saga all over again.

Or.

Put another way....BC Liberal cannon fodder....errrr....candidates will not be showing up for local riding meetings/debates where they might actually say something which could lead to real problems for ACATT.

Especially if the candidates were to say things that actually make sense compared to the ginned-up word salad being spewed under the ACCATT doctrine.

Spew like.....This.

Heckfire!

As Bob Mackin has noted, even so-called 'star' candidates like the good Mr. Darling are running away from such local debates*.

Which has me wondering.....

Are those super-stealthy, voter-suppressive robo-callish-type democracy-mangling machines I can see lurking just over the leaders' debate horizon?


_________
What's a 'Stealth Con' you may be asking?....Well....You know.....Which really leaves one wondering who the true generals are in that BCL war room.
*And/or speeding away from them while driving a corinthian leather-lined vehicle provided very finest of the fine member of the new car dealers' association of Clarklandia.


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Tuesday, April 18, 2017

This Day In Clarkland....A Wizard Exposed.

WhatComesAfterWarriorAnyway
LostDigitalInfluenceVille.


And 'exposed' by Mikey Mike no less:


Gosh.

Is something really happening here?


_______
Bob Mackin has more on the wizard...Here.
Our archives have more info on past deeds of said wizard, not missed....Here.
Horgan responds in a most zingnified manner.


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Monday, April 17, 2017

BC Election Campaign Round-Up....Week 1.

IsSomthingHappening
HereVille


I first had a vague inkling that something might be shifting in the Lotuslandian political zeitgeist in the first day or two after the writ dropped last Tuesday.

Which, to my mind at least, was supported by the following in the Dean's Friday column in the VSun:

...(BC Liberal Finance Minister Mike de Jong) levelled a broad-brush accusation that NDP spending promises would mean “massive” increases in taxes and deficits and a downgrade in the province’s Triple A credit rating.

Maybe. But at first read the NDP plan did not represent all that massive a shift from the three-year budget the Liberals themselves tabled in February.

Horgan would increase program spending by 1.4 per cent above what the Liberals were projecting for the current financial year, by 2.5 per cent in fiscal 2018 and three per cent the next year.

Those increases, for the most part, would finance readily defensible priorities — including a long overdue increase in social assistance, elimination of interest on student loans, hiring more park rangers and conservation officers, and rolling back ferry fares on the smaller routes...



And then, on Sunday, Martyn Brown went for broke in the GStraight in a way I'm not sure I have ever seen in the public prints since I really started paying attention to #BCPoli in 2004:

...The Clark government is demonstrably not working to help make life even remotely affordable for those low-income individuals and families.

It is not prepared to make even those modest investments, to help those who are able to work, lift themselves out of poverty, with meaningful employment that might alleviate or ultimately eliminate their dependency on social assistance.

Again, on this issue, the NDP did not try to outspend the Greens, who propose raising income assistance rates by 50 percent over the next four years. A bold and noble platform commitment, for sure, but not at all realistic, in my humble assessment.

Horgan’s platform is by contrast eminently reasonable and clearly affordable. It offers a welcome first step toward helping those most in need, yet without also unduly and even cruelly raising false expectations of what any new government will be able to responsibly afford...



So.

What, exactly, is that shiftyness thing I mentioned at the top of the post really all about Alfie?

Well....

It looks like some of the puffed-up punditry 'round here is starting to look at Mr. Horgan like he is the reasonable, pragmatic one who will really and truly make things happen for all of British Columbia without blowing the place up.

Gosh.

Is the Keef sure to follow?


________
 I realize the Mr. Brown may have an anti-CClark axe to grind, but still...Go have a look at his entire piece...He makes a decent case as a detailed follow up to Mr. Palmer column.

The real interesting thing to watch for in Week 2?....Well, in this vein at least, it will be interesting to see if other herd members start to paint Mr. Weaver as the extremist out on the looney left...If that happens and middle really does open wide for Horgan and the Dippers, I'm pretty sure the BCL wizardarian braintrusts' collective lobb-shopped potato-head will very likely explode.
Subheader ear worm got hold of you?....Relief is...Here.


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Thursday, April 13, 2017

This Pro-Pundit In Clarkland...Show Us The (Real) Data!

AreWeNot
IrelandVille


Mr. Mason, he of the Globe and (No Longer Empire) Mail, has written yet another conventionally obvious column in which he concludes that, for the BC Liberals to lose, folks in in the 'mushy ideological middle' will have to turn their backs on...


"...a government that has boasted arguably the strongest economy in the country over the past four years, unquestionably the best record of fiscal management among the provinces and an enviable job-creation record..."



Now.

I would argue that the three conclusions made by Mr. Mason, above, are not fully supported by the available data (as has been repeatedly illustrated by the digging, graph making and writing of Norm Farrell).

Regardless, consider the following...

Does this kind of superficial analysis from the likes of Mr. Mason even matter if most mushy middle folk, regardless their ideology, can't buy a house, or find their own doctor, or get a decent daycare space, or book a teacher's aide when one is required, or get an ambulance when they need one, or even get a campsite if they don't have a spread on one of the Gulf Islands when it's time for summer vacation? 

The point is that a generation ago most middling British Columbians could do all of those things and more. And now, well, a great many of them can't.

And what did all those folks receive in return for giving up all those previously available/attainable things?

Why, absolutely nothing except, of course, a massive tax shift in the form user fees up the wazuk...errr...wazoo (i.e. the HST by another name), a humongous crony-assisted sell off of public assets/treasures/rivers, and the accumulation of a massive pile of real debt that Mr. Mason and his fellow proMedia club members refuse to talk seriously about.

In other words, it's 'Heads They Win, Tails We Lose' all over again.

And there's absolutely nothing mushy about the middle of that big money coin I reckon.

OK?



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This Easter Weekend In Clarkland: Good Friday Reminds Us That...



....Our fine Premier has a real problem with basic facts and truths:




Unless, of course, the good Ms. Clark really is telling her loyal and hardworking, not to mention sacrificial, subjects that crucifixion will be their just rewards.

Or some such word salad spinner set-to-infinity-type thing.


_________
The original tweet is from 2015...Reading the responses is hilarious.


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Wednesday, April 12, 2017

The Yo-Yo Ferry Fare Conspiracy (ctd)....A Sham Of A Sham Of A Sham Not Even Worthy Of A Sham-Wow.

AllTheNegativeBilling
FauxRebatesThatFitVille


There is more (much more!) reaction to the BC Liberal Real-Increase/Fake-Decrease on ferry fares 'Say Absolutely Anything To Get Elected' thingy that we discussed the other day in an excellent editorial from the Times Colonist.

Here is their lede (and a wee bit more):

The B.C. Liberals have included a “break” for frequent ferry users as part of their newly announced election platform. The promise is a sham and an insult to island dwellers.

Supposedly, the party will “work with B.C. Ferries to develop a loyalty discount program by 2020 that will save money for frequent ferry users.” It takes three years to produce a discount program?

Until that joyous day arrives (if it ever does), the Liberals have committed to offering “residents of ferry-dependent communities” an income-tax deduction. Please note: We have no idea whether frequent ferry users and residents of ferry-dependent communities are one and the same. No doubt we’ll hear more on that at some future point.

The tax deal works like this: Ferry users will be able to deduct 25 per cent of their fares from their net tax payable to the province, up to a total of $1,000. That works out to a saving of $250 a year.

Really? You’re going to put ferry users through the misery of a complex income-tax manoeuvre to save them a few bucks. Why not just hide $10 bills throughout each ship and let passengers go on a treasure hunt?

It’s clear what is going on here. This is similar to one of those money-back deals that companies offer customers who don’t like their product. They’re counting on most people finding the process too time-consuming to follow through
.

That seems (to be) the motive here. The Liberals are dangling a form of rebate, knowing it’s too obscure or cumbersome to find an audience.

Otherwise, why not take the obvious step and cut fares? That would cost actual money...




Now.

Put this into perspective together skyrocketing Hydro rates, ICBC rates and MSP rates, all loaded on to the back of average British Columbians, and ask yourself the following...

Will the bait and switch ever end?



______
Tip 'O The Toque to reader Keith E. for the heads-up.


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Tuesday, April 11, 2017

Last Night In Clarkland....Chasing Mr. Coleman.

WhereAreTheFriendlies
WhenHeNeedsThemVille


It would appear that Bob Mackin didn't get the memo and/or read the sign on the proMedia Club members' door.

Because last night Mr. Mackin had the gall to chase Deputy Premier Rich Coleman down after a BC Liberal party leaders dinner and ask him real questions about real issues that Mr. Coleman has been ducking, repeatedly, of late.

Mr. Coleman refused to answer Mr. Mackin's questions at least in part because, in his words, 'You never tell the truth about me'.

As reader Lew has pointed out on the Twittmachine, the real story here was the total lack of other 'reporters' present at the really big do....






______
There is a proMedia 'Club' here in Lotusland?....You bet there is.



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Monday, April 10, 2017

This Pre-Writ Day In Clarkland...The Yo-Yo Ferry Fare Conspiracy.

SayAnything
IndeedVille


The following was the headline from a CBC British Columbia story just over a week ago:

"Welcome to April: higher BC Hydro rates, fares for BC Ferries"



And then, today, there was this from Global British Columbia:

"B.C. Liberals promise reduced ferry fares if elected"

Hmmmmmm....

It would appear that one of these things is not like other.

Kind of like those MSP rollbacks that haven't actually started rolling yet.

What a surprise.


__________
Interestingly, as pointed out by Bob Mackin, Global's local news channel did not cover the release of the Chalke report live but they did did go wire to wire with live coverage of the firing of a lame duck hockey coach who wanted nothing to do with the tanking of the good ship Linden-pop.



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Saturday, April 08, 2017

This Post-Report Weekend In Clarkland...Why Did They Want The Ombudsperson So Much?

WeDon'tNeedNoStinkingPublic
VisibilityVille



Besides the fact that Vaughn Palmer of the Vancouver Sun also called for it way back when why, exactly, did the Wizards of Clarkland want the Ombudsperson to run the latest investigation of the Health Researcher firings by the government of Christy Clark, Susan Anton and Mike de Jong?

Well...

It turns out that the explanation is laying right there in Ombudsperson Chalke's report of his investigation (pg 31 of pdf file):




So.

There you have it.

At  the 'most basic level' the investigation was kept from public view because  it was 'required' and because it was a 'central feature' of said investigation.

Imagine that!


______
Looks like the one lasting accountability impact aspect of the report may turn out to be an actual documentation of Ms. Clark's statements to Mr. Chalke that turn out to be at complete odds to what she is spouting to the proMedia now....Laila Yuile and Paul Willcocks both noticed.


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Thursday, April 06, 2017

This Day In Clarklandian Real Estate CronyLand...Was This Big Rich's Plan All Along?

TheWritAndAFourDayWeekendWill
SaveUsAllVille


From Mr. Eby's latest missive to the nowhere-to-be-found* Clarklandian Minister of Everything...




Send out the next wave of Deputy Ministers!


_______
*Closed door big money meet-ups excepted, of course.

Speaking of Deputy Ministers not named 'Henderson', how is this for internal uber-apologetic unaccountability?

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This Day In Lotusland...Playing Three Dot Monty With A Land Swap Loan.

ALockHoudiniHimselfCouldn't
PickVille


Following up on the work, persistence and digging of concerned citizens like Glen Chernen and the Community Association of New Yaletown,  Sam Cooper has written a most interesting PostMedia piece on the big downtown Lotuslandian land swap that re-built some social housing (without increasing the stock) while simultaneously 'unlocking' the re-development potential of one of the chunks of (no longer) city land:

...Now, four years after the city gave 508 Helmcken to the developer at a $15-million value, it has been assessed as high as $130 million by B.C. Assessment, and documents show that it could be worth even more at market rates...


Wow.

That lock sure did hold back a whole lotta moola.

Interestingly, the great unlocking also involved a loan from BC Housing (i.e. your money and mine) that apparently helped facilitate that decidedly un-social (three million dollar apartments for all!), unlocking:

...NDP housing critic David Eby has asked why B.C. Housing, which is mandated to provide social housing, provided a previously undisclosed $39-million loan to (the developer) Brenhill. The loan in 2016 required reporting of pre-sales progress in the luxury tower...

****

Alrighty then.


With that pre-amble out of the way, let's get on with the game!

Dot #1:

...Bob Rennie was involved in bringing forward the loan proposal to B.C. Housing’s board, while Rennie was a member of that board, in November 2013...


Dot #2:

...Rennie recused himself from the discussion and approval of the funding for Brenhill from B.C. Housing in the deal, documents show. But B.C. Housing officials refused to disclose to Postmedia why Rennie recused himself...



Now, while you keep your eyes on those two dots just revealed, how about we hunt down that all important  Dot #3, which has actually been out in the open for ages, all the while being well-polished by breathless promotional pre-sales puff pieces that include money shots like the following from Claudia Kwan, also 'published' in PostMedia's prints:

...“With so many projects, people ask how big the units are, how much does it cost, and what’s the view,” says Tracie McTavish, executive director of project marketer Rennie Marketing Systems...



Game over?



.

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

This Day In Clarkland....Ignore Those Wizards Behind The Curtain and Focus On The Real Thing.

AllYourBreechedTailingPonds
'RUsVille


Sometimes, the Blog Crawl has absolutely everything you need.

First, advice on how to deal with neandercons and their crony army from my favourite USian denizen of Left Blogistan since the days of Steve Gilliard:

"...Ignore their talking points and their spin and focus on what they do and how they act..."



Backed with a recent post from the Lotusland Bloggodome's best, Norm Farrell, that adroitly explains how big money resource extracting donors to the BC Liberals get paid.

First, go read Norm's entire post (it will only take a minute). 

And then ask yourself why, exactly, we have a mining ministry that waves pom-poms for the big money donors while simultaneously kinda/sorta (but not really) regulating said cronies....errrrr...donors.

OK?



_________
Who is Steve Gilliard, you may be asking?....The best I ever saw (and/or read).


.


Tuesday, April 04, 2017

This Real Estate Day In Clarkland: Big Rich Likes Reports In June...


....How About You?



A non-response to an FOI request received by the indefatigable Bob Mackin:



June does come after May, right?


_______
One of the things that used to drive me crazy between 2005 and 2009, especially during those heady pre-trial hearing days when all the details finally started barrelling down the tracks (before, of course, the real trial publication bans started pushing the evidence trains back up over the hill), was how the puffed-up punditry, and in particular the Ledgie-Boyz, would constantly say how RailGate didn't matter because the people voted the BC Liberals back into power after the Ledge Raids....Moral of the story...These days, in our fine province at least, the cover-up is NEVER worse than anything, large or small...


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Monday, April 03, 2017

This Lunchtime In Clarkland...My How The Conflicty Have Fallen.

WhichWhichIs
WhichVille


Tweetology to a friend(ly?) in the proMedia from the Premier's press man...



What's it all about Alfie?

Well, apparently...

Sandwiches.

Seriously.


______
Tip 'O The Toque to the tireless Bob Mackin for this one.
Conflicty before conflictyness in Clarkland was cool?....You bet!



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