Thursday, April 19, 2012

Bye-Byes Goin' Down...Polls Are Now Closed

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Thursday Night, 10pm Closin'-Up Shop Update....Dippers Win Two!....Trassolini crushes in PoMoCo...O'Mahony wins historic WackyHope seat for NDP...Party of the Curmudgeon finishes third in both (although respectable 25% the latter riding)....Stay Christy, Stay!
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8:07pm...The Dean reports that John Cummins says they are expecting a 'strong second' in C'Wack-Hope...Expectations lowerin' going down?

8:08pm...Keith Baldrey comin' on..Hang on a second while I turn my radio off for a moment...

8:09pm...Bill Tieleman posts up a little 'night of the long knives' pre-results foment...

8:11pm...The Dean invokes John Reynolds to make the case for post-disaster 'merger' talks...Baldrey pipes up (arrggghhhh...he's back! thought he was off in smartphone la-la land for good) and pooh-poohs all by saying these things 'take a long time' to play out...

8:18pm....VSun's JFowlie asks how often he can hit 'refresh' on his browser....We reckon he is referring to the so-far results-free Elections BC C'Wack-Hope site...

8:22pm...Early returns in PoMoCo...4/132 polls - nouveauDipper Trassolini stomping...

8:25pm...First two polls (of 126) in CWackHope in....Dipper O'Mahony in lead...Straight split Lib-Con...Really, really geography-dependent in that riding I reckon (Dipper support rises as you move East towards labour-centric Hope apparently)...

8:29pm....7/132 in PoMoCo....Trassolini still stompin with 2/3 of votes so far...Faux Christ(y)ine Clarke Con candidate a joke-like distant third (as expected by anyone who has been even remotely paying attention)...And why, exactly, does Joe T. sound so much like this guy on the radio?....

8:32pm....7/126 in CWackHope....It's a Forum/AReid-ish split...45 Dipper....29/25 Lib-Con...

8:35pm...Former GordCo man-about town Mike Morton comes on 'NW to slather a little more lipstick on the pig just as number of C'WackHope polls reporting double-up with Dipper pulling further ahead...

8:39pm....The Boys from Spam-A-Lot are now reporting CWackHope as 'Dipper v. Combined Lib-Con' vote...In WackyHope?....Are you joking me?...

8:41pm...Sean Leslie on 'NW now plays the add-em-up game now too...Guess he has the Spammers on his Twit-mobile...Meanwhile, amazing to me that the waterheads not considering the geographic effect in that riding...Are they just reading the numbers, straight-up, off the ECBC website...

8:45pm...For those playing the 'add up the Lib-Con aggregate' game in WackyHope, they may wish to remember that the very same Dipper lost with 33% in 2009, which means that she's up by about 12% at the moment....LibCons now dead-split there...Must have been closer-in polls in that last chunk as things tightened a little...

8:51pm...Joe T. effect shrinking in PoMoCo...He's down to 50%...Still way ahead but that means there must have been some complete flips in those last polls...I don't know enough about that area to know what it means in the slice 'n dice demo game...But you can bet that the (not)Premier sure as heckfire does...Wonder if she's reaching inside that wastebin lookin' for SMills' old darts right about now?

8:55pm...Poor Laura Baziuk, NW's gal in PoMoCo...She's at least half-an-hour behind as she gets lost in the Joe T. big crowd...

8:55pm...Dipper O'Mahony dips a little more with 49/126 polls reporting in WackyHope...Down to 42%...

9:02pm...Pundit/Reporter Uncle Bob Mackin, who is not part of 'The Club' and who was recently published somewhere grey, where even the Dean has never had his stuff seriously sniffed at, just Tweeted the following, "Those who spew vote-splitting argument assume Cons would've voted for Libs. Assumptions not always reality."....

9:05pm....Dipper O'Mahony now below 42 and LINO Throness at 31% with 58/16 polls...Geographic stuff interesting...Wonder if those late ballot boxes will be the far-flung reaches of the riding that should lean Dipper...Waterheads have nothing to say of significance...

9:09pm...Go ahead LINO party lipstick-on-pig smearers, feel free to play the Lib-Con add-up game in PoMoCo...It is over there...Only question is how much Joe T. will be above 50 at the end...

9:12pm...Absolutely no numbers available on turnout yet...But looking at the aggregates with more than half the polls reporting in both ridings it looks pretty low...

9:15pm...How often will we hear John Reynolds speak in Hochstein-like tongues during the coming days and weeks?

9:16pm...75 of 126 polls in CWackHope...Dipper O'Mahony back up above 42%...It's over?...Dipper win?...NW's S. Woodward called it, based on nothing more (he said) than sidewalk exit poll conversations earlier today...But why should anybody talk to him further when you've got Ledgie Boys who put themselves out by travelling all the way out to the 'Wack on a rainy Thursday night...Or some such thing...Leslie quips that Woodward will not get paid more for getting right...Sure thing Mr. L.....But here's to hoping he gets your job....

9:18pm....Grant G. calls it a BC LINO 'Flame Out'....

9:21pm....Just a wee twinge in WackyHope....What's up with advance polls?...Have they been counted yet...Don't forget what happened in PGrey when it was tied with 4 polls left to report and then the advance stuff 'suddenly' came in...

9:25pm...Absolutely Awesome Barry Penner now foreshadowing a very, very late poll flip by noting that WackyHope is gradually tightening...Waterhead Leslie finally raises the geographic question...Penner says that the tightening likely suggests that early polls may have been from Dipper friendly outlying regions of the riding...

9:27pm...WackyHope now down to less than 8% lead for Dipper O'Mahony...I wonder....Awesome Barry's advice for the (not)Premier?...Take a deep breath and go for a walk...Really?...That's it?...No wonder he had his own website of Awesomeness before he ran away from the (not)Premier as fast as he could...

9:31pm...94/126 polls in WackyHope now in....Dipper lead holding at 7.5%...If there's going to be a 'surprising' geographic/advance poll flip, it will have to start very, very soon...And yes, just because you're paranoid doesn't mean that somebody isn't out to get you...

9:34pm...The Curmudgeon is on...Funny, but not 'Ha-Ha' because he's not even making sense....And, sadly, I'm absolutely certain it has nothing whatsoever to do with anything even remotely similar to an Ibogaine-type effect...And he should stop talking smack about Voter ID and Lists etc. when he, himself, ran a joke candidate in PoMoCo...To her credit Simi Sara pushes him...

9:38pm...Mr. Beer 'N Hockey reports, in the comments, that his labour brethern should probably hold their horses tomorrow because this has been nothing but blue pill-assisted foreplay to next May's Big 'O'...

9:40pm...109/126 polls reporting in WackyHope, and Dipper is holding with 7.5% lead over LINO/RealCon Throness...Sure will be interesting to see who spent what in these Bye-Byes...Me thinks that maybe, just maybe, the cost per vote may have been astronomical for the LINO/RealCon candidate...

9:43pm...Remember how I took umbrage with FABula calling the (not)Premier a 'Warrior' a couple of weeks ago....Well...Where was the so-called 'Warrior' the last few days (and especially today) in WackyHope?...Huh?...Regardless, wonder if she (the [not]Premier, not FABula) is throwing a fit at the geniuses pulling her strings right about now?

9:48pm...117/126 polls in WackyHope now in...Dipper O'Mahony back up by almost 9% over LINO/RealCon Throness...Important to remember that, regardless the 'split' babble, this is an historic win for the NDP in that riding...

9:50pm...That's it for me...Once again, the only thing I really have to stay is....'Stay Christy, Stay!'...Ha!

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7 comments:

Grant G said...

It` all over Ross K..

Cheers.


http://powellriverpersuader.blogspot.ca/2012/04/bc-liberals-flame-out.html

Mr. Beer N. Hockey said...

My fellows at the union hall will be hyping these by-election results as the first shots of the Revolution but today has been but foreplay: the big O, if it materializes, is still a long year away.

Grant G said...

Thanks for all the effort Mr. K


Cheers

Anonymous said...

How much damage can Hochstein do between now and May 13, 2012 as a member of the Port of Vancouver?

Won't he be cut loose, thanked for his dedication, and so long......

motorcycleguy said...

How many guys does it take to start (or finish) a revolution anyways? I am thinking a hard working union guy and an equally hard working non union guy could park each of their truck and campers on the legislature lawn and storm the doors when the time is right. Of course they would have to agree what music to play on the CD and what sustenance they would require while waiting...shouldn't be too much of a problem...

Don F. said...

motorcycleguy perhaps something from levon would be appropriate maybe with some gumbo!
Don

motorcycleguy said...

amen....maybe something from the Festival Express tour (being on a train and all)....I'll bring the okra