Pollsters that actually get things right once in awhile, people like John Zogby, have it as a dead heat late on election eve.
Now, the thing to remember is that Bush historically polls 5% above his actual numbers (ie. in Sports Action/Betting parlance take BushPoll - 5). A good example is the Presidential race four years ago when Gore actually won the popular vote despite the fact that CNN's last polls before the election went like this:
" The new CNN/"USA Today" Gallup Tracking Poll results are being released at this hour. It shows George W. Bush with 48 percent, Al Gore 43 percent, Ralph Nader with 4 percent, Pat Buchanan with 1 percent."
So take that 5% and give it to Kerry, then take all that youth/first time vote, take all the mobilized get out the vote campaigns in Swing States, and you've got a wave for Kerry to ride, a wave that will build into a Tsunami as the world-wide absentee and early voter ballots start to be counted.
It takes 270 electoral votes to win.
We, the Gazetteers, figure Kerry will win Ohio and thus will not even need Florida this time around, but if he does it'll be a 300 vote wall of water.
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Update Mon Nov. 1st 11:30pm: Here's hoping for that landslide, not for the gloat factor, but instead to prevent the execution of a 'November Surprise' which would be little more than an anti-election litigation diversionary slaughter of innocents in Fallujah that is being planned right now, as we type, by BushCo.
Update Tues Nov. 2nd 6:42am: Appears the slaughter of his own people in Fallujah is in the puppet's hands; While President Ghazi al-Yawe is against it,Prime Minister Pinocchio (Allawi) says time is 'running out' for the resistance. The interim constitution says the bombing/killing/maiming must be sanctioned by the Iraqis, which is little more than wafer-thin, anti-Hague protection for Messers. Rumsfeld, Bush and Cheney et al.
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