Wednesday, July 12, 2023

BC NDP...Following Obama's Unfortunate Lead.


RealProgressIsNot
AThreeLeggedStoolVille


Look.

I understand that John Horgan, Geoff Meggs and the BCNDP braintrust first had gain and then consolidate power.

After all, as our old friend Ian Reid used to say, if you're not in government you can't do a darned thing.

However, like many others on the left side of the ledger around here, I remember all the promises of hope and change that preceded the provincial Dippers' razor thin victory in 2017.

But along the line something went wrong.

And it is, in my opinion, something that has gone wrong with most, if not all, center-left governments since the days that Bill Clinton made triangulation famous and Tony Blair convinced a whole lot of folks that 'new' Labour was still actually, you know, Labour. 

Case in point, the government of Barack Obama.

Cory Doctorow explains:

.... (In 2008) Obama's grassroots was the most successful netroots in history. Talented coders and digital strategists figured out how to leverage the internet to identify, mobilize and coordinate volunteers across the country. And while netroots activists did their work across the whole internet, their home base was a server the Obama campaign controlled. Once Obama won, they switched that server off.

You see, the rabble is useful when you're out there, trying to turn voters out to the polls. But if you plan to spend your term in office playing eleven dimensional chess, you don't want the mob jostling your elbow and shouting in your ear.

If FDR's (possibly apocryphal) motto was "I want to do it, now make me do it"; Obama's was "I want to do it, now go away." Rather than surrounding himself with the great unwashed, Obama created a cabinet of technocrats, grownups from the upper ranks of industry and the consultant class...


But what about 'Obamacare' (i.e. 'The Affordable Care Act') you may be asking?

Well, as Doctorow also points out, in his effort to reach eleventh level technocratic triangulatory Valhalla instead of going all in with a version of 'Medicare For All', Obama pretty much ensured that even his signature legislative achievement would ultimately fizzle out for the great majority of folks that voted for his initial promise of  'Hope and Change':

...The Affordable Care Act was a carefully triangulated compromise, one that guaranteed a massive flow of public cash to America's wildly profitable health insurance monopoly and steered clear of any socialist whiff that Americans would get their care from the government.

The ACA was an technocrat's iron-clad dream policy. It would work! After all, it "aligned the incentives" of healthcare investors and "harnessed markets" to drive efficiency...

{snip}

That's not how it worked out. Prior to ACA's passage, 85% of Americans had health insurance. Today, it's 90%. That's not nothing! 5% of the US is more than 16m people. But what about the 85% – 282m people – who were insured before the ACA? Their insurance costs have doubled – from an average of $15,609 for a family of four in 2009 to $30,260 today. Obama promised that ACA would lower the average family's insurance bill by $2,500/year – but instead, insurance costs increased by some $15,000...


And what and who did just enough US'ian's vote for after Obama?


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So.

Getting back to our current provincial situation...

What is a center-left government like the current BCNDP regime of David Eby and former Visionista Matt Smith to do?

Well, how about they stop with the half measures, prioritize, and enact signature pieces of legislation that really matter. 

And then get out there and explain what they are doing and why - long and hard.

Oh.

And one more thing.

Don't be afraid to lose.

After all, while Dave Barrett's government may have only lasted three years, almost half a century later we still have ICBC, the ALR, a Human Rights Code, Pharmacare, Question Period in the Ledge, Hansard, and (something my kids will be forever thankful for) French Immersion.

OK?


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Image at the top of the post?...From 2012 at Bear Flat in the Peace River Valley...Ken Boon, writing last year in the Alaska Highway News, explains...
Don't get me wrong...I understand why Mr. Horgan had to go out his way to demonstrate that he was not, as the usual suspects clamoured to tag him, 'Dr. No'...It's just that it's also important to make 'Yes' happen in ways that truly matter.


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5 comments:

Evil Eye said...

If Geoff Meggs is involved with Eby, he may just snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in the next election.

Meggs, ex Vision(less) Vancouver Councillor is a big fan of the Broadway subway, you know the $2.7 billion subway that goes nowhere and in all likelihood force more people off transit than on to it! Subways are very poor in attracting ridership for a plethora of reasons.

The real cost in extending the Expo Line (Surrey to Langley extension) and the Millennium Line (B.S. Line) is now over $11 billion, just for 21.7 km of new line.

Eby knows this as the NDP have packaged out the costs to hide the total.

Hear is the breakdown:

1) Broadway subway- $2.7 billion (final price will be higher due to inflation.
2) Surrey/Langley extension - guideway $4.1 billion.
3) S/L extension - Operations and maintenance centre #5, $500K to $1 billion.
4) Resignalling of the E&M lines - contract let, $1.47 billion
5) Rehab and increase of the electrical supply - $2 billion+
6) All switches replaced on the Expo Line to high speed switches - $500K to $1 billion.

All this needs to be done before both the extensions open.

Total $11.27 billion to $12.7 billion and that does not include the fleet replacement with new cars.

The estimated cost to operate a Vancouver to Chilliwack rail service with the maximum of three trains per hour per direction, giving a 90 minute travel time from Chilliwack to the Fraser river bridge - $1.5 billion.

Doing the same thing with the E&N railway - $3 billion to $4 billion.

And here is the kicker, both the Valley rail project and the E&N plan would attract far more new ridership than the current 21.7 km $11 billion+ SkyTrain plans.

Eby and Crew are just Christie Clark, BC Liberal Lite and they will spend billions of dollars pleasing their corporate friends and to hell with the people and the taxpayer.

RossK said...

Always appreciate your transit system comparisons and breakdowns EE.

And I understand your frustration with the current provincial government and its need to triangulate.

However, I honestly do not believe that David Eby is nothing more than a lite version of Christy Clark which, to be honest, is the purpose (and, dare I suggest, 'hope') of the post.


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e.a.f. said...

With all the billions spent on sky train, subways, etc the province could have spent a lot more money on housingm treatment for addicts hospitals, education for health care professionals, etc. That would impact and improve the lives of many in this province, just like Barrett's initiatives did. My take on things was when Barret came to office with Williams they set out to do as much as possible as quickly as possible. Fast forward a decade or two and attending a social function. Some young university students asked Bob Willisams something. (didnot hear the question but heard Williams
response)
The NDP are the bastards of the political system so when we came to office/power we had to do as much as we could because we might not be back. (or words to that effect) Made sense to me.
Read Willisam's book and I could see how he came to that philosophy, He lived and worked in a time when things were much more stratefied in our society and if you weren't British you didn't work in some City of Vancouver departments. Its why he chose another department.

When Horgan came to office, its my take he had a look at history and taking a page from Harcourt's play book--middle of the road and you might be able to stay in office and make some changes, which is better than nothing.
With Eby I think we are back to the Bob Williams, Barrett, Glen Clark mode of operating. Doubt if Eby is finished with changes

As to Megs jusst don't know why Horgan hired him. Always thought that he and Penny screwed things up in Vancouver and now they had a chance to do it for the whole province. Neither of them are what I would refer to as forward thinkers or innovaters.

Evil Eye said...

The problem with the provincial NDP is that the slimy tentacles of SNC Lavalin are all over them, as they were with Vision(less) Vancouver.

The Canadian politicians favourite Engineering firm, SNC Lavalin owned and probably still own Engineering patents for the now called Movia Automatic Light Metro system (erroneously called SkyTrain, which is the name of the regional light-metro system), which they inherited with Lavalin (went bankrupt building an ALRT system in Bangkok) after amalgamation.

Bombardier owned the technical patents for the MALM proprietary railway, which have now been transferred to Alstom, when they purchased Bombardier's rail division.

The problem is, many former SNC Lavalin engineers work in city government, the provincial government and the universities, thus have helped keep the continued planning for this obsolete proprietary railway.

As most of these engineers hold stock in SNC Lavalin, the more SkyTrain is built, the higher dividends they get.

Premier Eby gets his information from the transportation ministry which has (Bob Mackin did a who's who on this some time ago) many former SNC lavalin engineers working for them. It is safe to say, Eby is getting tainted information because only 7 of these proprietary light metro systems have been built in almost 45 years, with the last four sold under Bombardier's ownership under a cloud of bribery, corruption and just plain bad design.

Why do we and the NDP keep building with the damn thing?

The interesting thing is, the Liberals do not get a free pass either because the Canada Line, their baby, is a heavy-rail metro, built as a light metro, which lacks capacity and has high operating costs and guess who is the major concessionaire for the Canada-Line P-3, you guessed it, SNC Lavalin!

Sorry, when I inked a letter to Eby (when he was AG) about the current NDP inspired transportation fiasco, strictly using news sources from major Canadian newspapers such as the Globe and mail, Eby wet his knickers, ran and hid from it, sending me a letter that all further mail must go via a provincial barrister.

What is Eby afraid of?

I know, but I cannot say publicly, simply I do not have the financial resources to fight government.

In my book the NDP and the Falcon's current mob are one and the same and why, out of desperation, I will vote Green.

RossK said...

Fair enough EE - on this issue it would appear that you have receipts of congruence between the two parties.

Thanks.

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