Wednesday, August 02, 2023

Danger Over The Danube.

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From David Axe writing for Forbes on early this week:

A trio of civilian cargo ships—one each from Israel and Greece plus one with Turkish-Georgian registration—ran the Russian blockade in the Black Sea on Sunday and anchored at one of Ukraine’s grain ports on the Danube Delta.

Twenty-two days after Moscow canceled a deal with Kyiv—which had allowed Ukraine safely to export tens of millions of tons of grain—and then threatened to halt maritime traffic to Ukrainian ports, the world has called the Russians’ bluff...

{snip}

...(No) Russian ship intervened as the three civilian ships made their way not to Odesa, but to Izmail. Kyiv has been redeveloping its Danube ports as a wartime alternative to Odesa...


But here's the thing...


Unlike Odesa, Izmail is very close to Romania (i.e. NATO-protected soil).

Thus, the following is not the least bit surprising:

...Overhead, no fewer than four NATO warplanes patrolled: a U.S. Navy P-8 patrol plane, a U.S. Army Challenger with a surface-scanning radar, a U.S. Air Force RQ-4 drone and an E-3 early-warning plane from NATO. None of the planes routinely carries weapons, but NATO fighters—including Italian Eurofighters and Romanian F-16s—were nearby in Romania...


And then, today came reports like the following, this one from Reuters:


Russia attacked Ukraine's main inland port across the Danube River from Romania on Wednesday, sending global food prices higher as it ramped up its use of force to prevent Ukraine from exporting grain.

The drone attacks destroyed buildings in the port of Izmail and halted ships as they prepared to arrive there to load with Ukrainian grain in defiance of a de-facto blockade Russia reimposed in mid-July...


Very scary times, indeed.


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1 comment:

e.a.f. said...

Starving people into submission is an age old tactic of war.

Putin will destroy and kill as many as he considers necessary to hang onto power. He has no choice. A decade or two ago, there was an article about Putin and the writer dealt with the topic of was there an exit strategy for Putin to get out of politics. their conclusion, NO. He had amassed so much money and held so much power, if he left his enemies would come after him.

We can expect to see things get a lot worse and starvation in countries which rely on Ukrain's grain.

NATO is better off dealing with Putin now, than later, because later, NATO may be too weak to deal with Putin as he goes after one country after another. We in the west are concerned about nuclear weapons in this war. We ought not to be. We can die from Putin destroying country after country or just get it over with and send Putin something which he won't be happy about.

On the off chance Trump is elected, you can expect the U.S.A. to withdraw support for Ukraine.

Putin isn't that different from Pol Pot, who murdered a couple of million of Cambodian citizens to achieve his version of how the country should look. Other countries stood by and watched. Finally Vietname invaded and that was the beginning of the end of Pol Pot.