Tuesday, May 10, 2005

Evi's Comin'

TrendTightening
PollVille

When the LINOs' BigRedWarRoomMachine decided to go negative late last week we speculated that they must have been staring some pretty scary internal poll numbers in the face.

Why?

Because there's no need for a frontrunner with a comfortable lead to go negative (witness Mr. Campbell's short leash during last Tuesday's TV debate).

Well, looks like those numbers are now out, for all to see, in the form of the latest Mustel Poll.

And we're not talking about the overall trend towards tightening (now within the margin of error on both sides).

No.

Instead, we're talking about the leaders performance where 39% are still undecided on Carole James.

Which is a heck of a handle for the kind of swing that could flip the BC Liberals ass over teakettle.

So, as witnessed by last weekend's Bubble Bursting on the Lowroad and the TalkShow Debate Push-Polling excercise of yesterday, Gary Collins et al. have decided to try and drive James' undecideds hard into the negatives.

But there is a danger in this strategy.

And that is evident in another set of internals buried within Evi M.'s spreadsheet that involve a little over half of the entire population.....

The name of which is Women, which are solidly in Mr. James camp with a bullet.

And who responds most strongly to negative campaigning in a negative way?

Let's just say it's not the half of the population with only one X chromosome.

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