Monday, May 11, 2009

Day 28 (Late Night).... Final Thoughts Edition....

PredictionsAreForSuckers
PassTheLollipopsVille


So.....

When you're listening/watching the puffed-up-punditry tomorrow night beginning at 8:01pm Pacific Time precisely (9:01 for you folks in the far east), how will you know what's really going down?

Well, we figure there are three 'groups' of ridings to watch to see which way the wind is blowing....

Group 1: The Hurtland
Most of it is, unfortunately, pretty entrenched....Would love it if one of the PG/Railgate Central ridings went Dipper, but I'd be very surprised if that happened...There are two possible flips though.... One is Kamloops, the old stomping grounds of nouveau James Gang supporter, Rafe Mair, where re-districting on the Northside gives the Dipper, Doug Brown, a chance.... The other, of course, is Kootenay East, where the disaster that has been Bill Bennett's campaign, coupled with the hiving of the yahoo vote by Wilf Hanni, means that Dipper Troy Sebastian has a legitimate shot....


Group 2: The Three Bees And The Farmbelt
This could be the whole ball of wax. There are five ridings which are, according to the well-respected Election Prediction Project, too close to call.... Burnaby Deer Lake/Lougheed/North and the two Deltas.....Really really tough to know which way any of them will go at this point, but even if GordCo were to ultimately prevail it would be sweet, sweet sub-Judas Priest Justice, indeed, if South Delta was snatched away from the affably awful Wally Oppal by Vicki Huntington.


Group 3: CremeVille
Can Dipper McGinn hold Vancouver Fairview from the well-landed, non-resident gentry?....Not sure, but certainly hope so....But the real one to watch is the Grey Poupon Belt out on Lotusland's far western edge where the cutting-out-of-the-heart-of-the-park, foment in the lowlands of Kitsilano, and, perhaps most importantly, the movement of vote-grabbing greeniac Kettlewell out of the riding means that the ol' activist Dipper Mel Lehan just might deliver the ultimate coup de grace to 'The Great (mis)Manager'...


Fingers crossed.....Talk to you all tomorrow night.....



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One more final, final, final thought....For the first time ever (I think), Sean Holman/Public Eye has made an electoral endorsement - and on this one (ie. pro-STV) I agree with him and Mr. Willcocks.
Photo at top of post
is the ol' curmudgeon himself (and we mean that in a good way), Rafe Mair, with Ms. James as captured by anti-STV activist Mr. T., Bill Tieleman.

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